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Expected Goals | How To Use xG For Football Betting

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Football is a game where all goals are valued equally at 1, but not all attempts on goal are equally likely to result in a goal. Basic statistics like ‘shots on target’ do not provide sufficient insight into the performance of teams. That’s where Expected Goals (xG) comes in. Expected Goals (xG) is a statistical metric that assigns a “quality” value to every attempt on goal, based on past data. This enables us to better analyse games and determine whether results are in line with the expected outcome. Expected Goals has the potential to revolutionise football prediction, team and player evaluation, and even sports betting.   What Is Expected Goals (xG)? Expected goals (xG) is a statistical metric used in football to quantify the quality of scoring chances in a match. It is a measure of the likelihood of a particular shot resulting in a goal. xG is typically calculated using machine learning models that analyse large amounts of data on historical shots and goals, in order to id...

Sports Spread Betting Odds Explained | How To Calculate Profit

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In sports spread betting, players bet on whether an outcome will end up being above or below a range called the ‘spread’. The profit or loss is determined by the extent of which a player was ‘right’ or ‘wrong’. In this article I explain how spread betting differs from traditional fixed odds betting, and how the payouts are calculated.   Sports Spread Betting vs. Fixed Odds With fixed odds betting you know before placing a bet what you stand to win or lose. It’s simple — you place a fixed-risk stake at specified odds and you either (a) make a profit based on those odds, or (b) lose your entire stake. There are no other outcomes, unless you bets are voided or refunded. Sports spread betting offers an alternative to traditional fixed odds. With sports spread betting you don’t use odds, but instead bet on whether a specified outcome in a sports event will end up being above or below a ‘spread’ provided by a sports spread betting firm. The spread is basically the betting firm’s p...

Best UK Racecourses | Top 10 British Horseracing Tracks

There are 60 racecourses, including 17 multi-purpose tracks, operating in the UK. Each has their own special qualities. So what are the best UK racecourses?   Aintree Aintree is a jumps-only track with two courses, both left-handed. For a few brief moments each year in April, Aintree hosts the world’s most famous race: The Grand National . This race is run over 4 and half miles, with 16 steeplechase fences including the famous fences of ‘Canal Turn’, ‘The Chair’ and ‘Becher’s Brook’. Canal Turn is jumped twice during the National and is named due to the Leeds-Liverpool canal just beyond the boundary of the course. In addition, Aintree hosts an additional four racedays a year as well as housing the longest nine-hole golf course in the country, nestled within the Grand National course.   Ascot Over 300,000 people make the annual visit to Berkshire during Royal Ascot week, making this Europe’s best-attended race meeting. Ascot’s five-day annual Royal Ascot event is held...