5 Lessons Learned – AFL Round 11

As much as we’d all love to bet with retrospective and hindsight knowledge, we’ll have to make do with what we learned from the weekend gone by in the AFL.

That’s where our 5 Lessons Learned column comes into play.

There’s plenty of Monday experts out there, but we’re here to give you the punters perspective as we take in the “learnings” from Round 11.

(1) Melbourne is the Flag Favorite.

Do not adjust your screens.

This is not a dream.

This is not a drill.

The Melbourne Football Club, the Demons, the grand old flag, are outright premiership favorites after Round 11 at $4.50

Take a screenshot.

Feeling confident after you got them at $26 to win the AFL Premiership prior to the season?

Melbourne has every right to be the market leader after Friday nights performance.

That six-goal first quarter, paving the way to a clinical 28-point win over the Doggies which left them perched on their own on top of the AFL ladder and having a laugh at the half-way point of the season.

This sets up another crucial clash against the third-placed Brisbane Lions on Friday night, most likely to be played in Sydney.

The ghosts of seasons past may still haunt the long-suffering Dees fans, but they should be enjoying the fact that the punters fancy them to break their 57-year premiership drought.

Bet Now: AFL Premiership 2021

(2) The Lions are Under the Radar

You might want to pay attention to the Brisbane Lions right now.

Sitting on third on the table, the Lions are winning it and doing it with style and ease at the moment.

Brisbane has won its past seven games and is arguably the most in-form team in the AFL, yet like many a non-Victorian side find themselves a little bit under the radar.

The Lions thumped the Giants and the game was never in doubt on Saturday arvo at the Gabba.

They are missing a Brownlow medalist and still have selection headaches across the park, truly, a great problem to have for coach Chris Fagan.

Meanwhile, Robbo of the Mitch variety is currently in one of the all-time great career purple patches.

If the Lions can win their massive Friday night clash with the Dees, wherever it is played, it’s fair to say they start to appear on many Victorian radars.

Bet Now: AFL Round 12

(3) Some Games Got the Crowd they Deserved.

Perhaps some silver lining about Victoria’s circuit-breaker lockdown, from a pure football watching perspective and that only.

No one was able to attend the Collingwood v Geelong clash at the MCG or the St Kilda v North Melbourne game at Marvel, thank goodness for that.

Two truly awful games of football that quite frankly, should have all records of those games destroyed – the master tape gone and the digital footprint nowhere to be seen.

Collingwood couldn’t kick a goal to save themselves, while Geelong just went through the motions

Had St Kilda been playing a team that wasn’t bottom of the ladder North Melbourne they would have been flogged.

The Cats and Saints can bank the four points but no one should ask how or where they got them ever again.

Name-a-Game didn’t go out of business because of technology, it’s because of woeful displays like that.

If you backed the unders in those games, good for you.

Otherwise, let’s get the neuralyser and erase all traces of those woeful contests from our memory.

Bet Now: AFL Round 12

(4) West Coast is a Let-Down.

Backing West Coast to win a game at Optus Stadium has become a fairly reliable bet.

The Eagles cruised out to a 29-point lead in the second quarter and looked home, before the Bombers ran rampant and took the game out by 16-points.

Granted they lost Tim Kelly and Oscar Allan during Saturday night’s game, but they seemed overwhelmed.

"The Eagles picked Yeo in part because of a want to reintegrate him quickly into their best 22, but also in part out of a lack of faith in their midfield depth."
Mark Duffield analyses what yesterday's loss means – & what it may trigger in the coming weekshttps://t.co/O7rJRKhGHZ pic.twitter.com/zPYyVyj2yg
— The West Sport (@TheWestSport) May 30, 2021

Had they won the game, they’d be looking for a charge towards the top-four and just clinging for life in the top eight.

This has been the case for the past couple of years for a team that’s been a premiership fancy, and it’s fair to say Adam Simpson’s men have become a bit of a letdown.

Bet Now: AFL Round 12

(5) Is Don. Is Good.

For the first time in a long while, Essendon fans head into the working week with a big grin on their face, and so they should.

Essendon produced their best win in years on the weekend against the Eagles in Perth.

Just when it looked like West Coast would run away with it, holding a 29-point lead in the second quarter, the Dons played some of their best footy in years to kick seven of the last eight goals to register a famous win.

Things are starting to click for the Bombers right now.

Zach Merrett and Darcy Parish have become a formidable midfield duo, Kyle Langford gets right amongst it while the likes of Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti and Jake Stringer up forward gives plenty of reasons to get the Bomber faithful waving their jackets like old times.

This sets up a unique opportunity to test themselves against reigning premiers Richmond with an unexpected Dreamtime in Perth clash.

Bombers fans might fancy themselves against the Tigers, but they wouldn’t want to get to ahead of themselves.

Bet Now: AFL Round 12

BONUS LESSON…
(6) Jack’s Masterclass.

Shout out to anyone who backed Jack Riewoldt to kick 5+ goals in Richmond’s 28-point win over the Crows yesterday.

It was a vintage performance from the three-time premiership, two-time Coleman medalist yesterday.

When the Crows made a charge in the last quater, Jack took a mark similar to his cousin Nick in 2004 against the flight of the ball, and follwed it up with three late goals to ensure the Tigers got the win.

Speaking of Coleman’s, second gamer Callum Coleman-Jones kicked four goals himself and 20 disposals.

The flag is up for grabs amongst many teams, but Mark of the Year is now headed to Tigerland with the contest between Shai Bolton and Jack Riewoldt.

Give them both a car.

Bet Now: AFL Round 12

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