Betting Punter

For many, it’s a love/hate relationship with the South Sydney Rabbitohs. On one hand, you can’t help but admire the club and the people involved in one of the most iconic sporting teams in the country. On the other, you can’t stand them. They are bloody everywhere and like actual bunny rabbits, they just keep popping up from nowhere. If you’re looking for a team to get behind ahead of Sunday’s NRL Grand Final, I’ve been given the task to convince you why you should sway red and green and be singing Glory Glory come the final whistle. Let’s see if these arguments won’t convince you… Because Adam Reynolds The Souths skipper is leaving for the Brisbane Broncos (Proudly sponsored by Ladbrokes) next season, and wouldn’t becoming a two-time Souths premiership player be a way to leave on a high note? Reynolds, who has been Souths skipper for two seasons played in the clubs famous 2014 triumph and is one of three players along with Alex Johnston and Tom Burgess who will aspire to get an...

Hobart - Race 1 3:55pm AEST No. 10 Kick It T Jack Six year old gelding Kick It To Jack is racing in career best form right at the minute and he again looks well placed. He put together three wins on the trot in Victoria before finishing fourth last time out at Devonport. Bet Now: Hobart Race 1 Hobart - Race 2 4:30pm AEST No. 4 Rock On Playboy Rock On Playboy is another gelding racing in fine form at the moment. He has finished in the top two in his last six races in a row including wins in his last two at Hobart and Devonport. He’s the one to beat. Bet Now: Hobart Race 2 Hobart - Race 3 4:55pm AEST No. 5 Nobeer Nomore Nobeer Nomore is shooting for four wins in a row when he steps out in the third race of the afternoon at Hobart. It took the five year old until his 19th race start to break through for his maiden win but he has now proven capable at this level of racing. Bet Now: Hobart Race 7 The post Daily Harness Tips – Sunday 3rd October appeared first on...

Albion Park - Race 6 6:58pm AEST No. 4 Pay Roll Pay Roll was ultra impressive when scoring by three lengths at this track and distance last time out. He actually ran a quicker time when finishing second the start before that and that time is the fastest recorded by any dog in this race. Bet Now: Albion Park Race 6 Albion Park - Race 7 7:23pm AEST No. 7 Mr. Denzel Mr. Denzel has managed six wins from 16 career race starts with five of those coming at this track and distance. The son of Fernando Bale has the fastest recorded time here of any dog competing in this race and looks the one to beat. Bet Now: Albion Park Race 7 Albion Park - Race 11 8:45pm AEST No. 6 Quick Blast Quick Blast comes into this race on the back of a dominant 3.5 length win over the short course here at Albion Park. He is racing very consistently in recent times and is one of only two dogs in this race to have broken 19 seconds at this track and distance. Bet Now: Albion Park Race 11 The p...

What a cracker of a game last week in the AFL grand final. Well, maybe not if you’re a Dogs supporter… Highlight of the game for us was Petracca’s grubber goal from the sideline. He’s unreal. This week we are looking at some other HUGE moments in grand finals. We’ll include AFL obviously, but with the NRL grand final being on Sunday (hopefully) it would be rude not to discuss the great game of Rugba Leeg. Greg Inglis’ Goanna Crawl – South Sydney V Bulldogs 2014 After a 43-year drought, the South Sydney Rabbitohs won the 2014 premiership against the Bulldogs in what was a demolition. With a couple minutes left to go, GI broke through the Dogs defense to put the icing on the cake. His signature goanna celebration was well received by Souths fans and teammates alike and will be etched in Rugby League memories forever. Leo Barry You Star – Sydney V West Coast 2005 Leo Barry, what a mark! What a time to bring out your career best moment, in the dying moments of the 2005 Grand Fi...

The Penrith Panthers are back on the NRL Grand Final stage for another year as they prepare to lock horns with the Rabbitohs on Sunday night at Suncorp. After a brilliant three-loss season, the Panthers will take to the field as favourites in the Ladbrokes market , despite the fact they lost to this same Rabbitohs team only three weeks ago. With a chance to right last year’s wrongs and win a third premiership, we’re here to tell you why you should support The Riff this weekend! Because Pat Cummins Did you know the world’s No. 1 ranked Test bowler is a die-hard Panthers nut? Despite being born in Westmead, just west of Parramatta, Pat Cummins and the rest of his family have bled black and yellow from day dot. One look at Cummins’ Twitter profile suggests he doesn’t mind taking care of his sponsors, which was evident last year when he voiced his fanhood by promoting Kayo to all 300,000 of his followers. My family are all diehard Penrith Panthers fans and this weekend's game ...

It may come as a surprise to some of you that many professional bettors and traders know very little about the sports they bet on. They’re called “Cold Traders”, and they exist in both the financial and sports betting worlds. Cold Traders are known to operate in the Horse Racing racing markets where the odds are highly volatile. But unlike the vast majority of other bettors in the market, Cold Traders don’t study the form, jockeys, trainers, pedigree, the going, and so on. Most don’t even watch the events. This concept can seem alien to some bettors. Yet it’s highly important to recognise that successful betting doesn’t hinge on what you know about a sport — it’s what you know about odds.   Cold Trading Isn’t As Crazy As It Sounds Let’s compare Cold Trading to investing . Many investors buy/sell shares without really understanding a great deal about the company or the business. The reason for trading may be loosely based on trends occurring in the market, some basic analys...

Betting on 3&7 is a clear win. Read through to see why! Listen! The US hottest season is now here. It’s time to maximize winnings and minimize losses. Often the NFL season has the highest bets every year. And the best part! 90% of these chances are available to US citizens. It might look easy to predict the best outcomes following the previous NFL season’s results. However, that is taking the risk too high. What’s the next thing to do? Maximizing your chances of winning through the best tips How Is This Done? Initially, you need to familiarize yourself with the crucial numbers 3 & 7. In short, this translates to every field goal with three points and 7 key points following each touchdown. There is also an extra point kick amounting to 2 points. Even though the 2 point conversion can change the outcomes, it is still rare as most results are three or seven. This is because introducing the 33-yard kick from the previous 20 yard causes many players to miss attempts. Thus...

The Valley - Race 3 6:15pm AEST No. 2 Smokin' Val This is a drop in class for Smokin’ Val and she has an excellent chance to score a second race win. She was good first-up at Morphettville and she wasn’t disgraced against a much stronger field than this in the How Now Stakes. Barrier 12 is a little bit awkward and she will need some luck in running, but she is still the class horse in this field. Bet Now: The Valley Race 3 The Valley - Race 5 7:15pm AEST No. 1 Ashford Street Ashford Street is a consistent sprinter that never produces a poor performance. He was very good over 1100 metres at Flemington last start and before that he was a good thing beaten over 1000 metres at Cranbourne. The wide barrier draw does mean that he will need some luck in running at the right time, but if he gets that he will be right in the finish. Bet Now: The Valley Race 5 The Valley - Race 6 7:15pm AEST No. 6 He's The Real Deel He’s The Real Deel had excuses when he was...

The Gardens - Race 3 7:37pm AEST No. 5 Keeping On Keeping On has looked next to invincible in recent starts having now put together seven wins in a row. The son of Fernando Bale has excellent early speed out of the boxes and has managed six wins from seven attempts at this track and distance. Bet Now: The Gardens Race 3 The Gardens - Race 6 8:41pm AEST No. 3 Zipping Lennox Zipping Lennox has managed three wins from five career race starts to date and he again looks well placed in a race of this quality. This is his first go at this track and distance but with even luck from the awkward draw, he will be winning. Bet Now: The Gardens Race 6 The Gardens - Race 11 10:25pm AEST No. 6 Chiquitita This is a very competitive race over the short course here at The Gardens but Chiquitita could not have been more impressive when scoring by over six lengths on debut here. She ran a very slick time when winning and a repeat of that effort would see her winning again in this ...

Bendigo - Race 3 6:32pm AEST No. 11 American Deal American Deal is a very talented young horse who is putting together a really good racing resume. The three year old put together three wins on the trot to finish his last campaign and will improve sharply on his third first up last start. Bet Now: Bendigo Race 1 Bendigo - Race 5 7:30pm AEST No. 13 Sugar Me Three year old Sugar Me has been next to flawless during this campaign so far having won five of his last six. This is another step up in class for the talented young gelding and he has been supported in early betting. Bet Now: Bendigo Race 5 Bendigo - Race 7 8:33pm AEST No. 6 Max Delight Max Delight put together two impressive wins in a row before finishing fourth at his last start. This is a very competitive Group 2 race but he is clearly the horse to beat. Bet Now: Bendigo Race 7 The post Daily Harness Tips – Saturday 2nd October appeared first on Ladbrokes Blog . from Ladbrokes Blog https://www.ladb...

Gloucester Park - Race 1 7:22pm AEST No. 9 Jumpingjackmac Jumpingjackmac has put together an impressive racing resume during his short career to date having won seven times from 10 career starts. He finished his last campaign with four wins from his last five starts and looks well placed first up in this race. Bet Now: Gloucester Park Race 1 Gloucester Park - Race 2 7:52pm AEST No. 1 Euphoria Euphoria has been racing really consistently throughout this prep so far and he was trapped for room at a vital stage in Group 3 company last start. He will appreciate the step back in class for this event and will get all the advantages that come with drawing the pegs. Bet Now: Gloucester Park Race 2 Gloucester Park - Race 5 9:22pm AEST No. 1 Vampiro The fifth event of the evening at Gloucester Park is the Group 2 J.P Stratton Cup and it is a very interesting betting race. Vampiro has missed a place just once in his last six starts and the early support in betting suggest...

A field of 16 fillies will lineup at Randwick on Saturday to contest a wide-open edition of the Group 1 Flight Stakes over the mile.  The $750,000 feature is headlined by the Robert Heathcote-trained Startantes, who returns on the short backup following last week’s fifth in the Golden Rose Stakes.  Top Sydney trainer Chris Waller has a typically strong hand in the race with She’s All Class, Hinged and Fangirl all lining up, while Gai Waterhouse will be hoping to win the race for a 10th time with Swift Witness.  For our thoughts on each runner, scroll down to view our 2021 Flight Stakes Preview! Four Moves Ahead  Four Moves Ahead kicked home strongly to win the Tea Rose a fortnight ago thanks to a superb ride from Nash Rawiller.  The Snitzel filly produced a big turn of foot when something was asked of her down the straight, and she’ll likely look to roll forward again after drawing wide. The John Sargent-trained Four Moves Ahead is fitter for three runs b...

Penrith - Race 2 6:47pm AEST No. 10 Bettor Sensation Bettor Sensation has won two of his last three starts including a handy little race at Menangle last time out. If he can replicate that form, he will be right in a race of this quality and he currently represents really good value at his current price. Bet Now: Penrith Race 2 Penrith - Race 4 7:45pm AEST No. 8 Chevron Art Chevron Art has been racing really consistently so far this prep, finishing in the top two in four of his last five starts. This includes a 10 metre win at this track and distance last start and a repeat of that would see him go close here. Bet Now: Penrith Race 7 Penrith - Race 5 8:15pm AEST No. 6 American Flyer American Flyer is the horse to beat in the fifth race of the evening here at Penrith. The six year old mare has been racing really well this prep and is a last start winner at this track. Looks well placed. Bet Now: Penrith Race 5 The post Daily Harness Tips – Thursday 30th Septe...

The Gardens - Race 5 8:27pm AEST No. 7 Chevy Royale The fifth race of the day is a race in two if you believe the market but Chevy Royale represents good value at double figures from the good draw in box seven. The last time she was seen at this track and distance she record a very slick 29.46 when scoring by 10 lengths and a repeat of that would see her going very close in this event. Bet Now: The Gardens Race 5 The Gardens - Race 6 8:49pm AEST No. 7 Chrissie Banner Chrissie Banner out together three wins in a row winning by a combined 19.5 lengths before finishing third at her last start. The daughter of Mister Twister has won three of five attempts at this track and distance and will ump the quickest of the seven runners. Bet Now: The Gardens Race 6 The Gardens - Race 7 9:12pm AEST No. 1 Convoluted The seventh race of the evening is a very open betting race and I’m keen to take on the short priced favourite. Convoluted is a very consistent race dog who has p...

Sandown Park - Race 2 3:39pm AEST No. 5 Nangar Ellie Nangar Ellie couldn’t have been much more impressive when winning by over two lengths at this track and distance last start. She ran a very slick 29.54 in that event which is the fastest time of any dog competing in this race at the track and distance. Bet Now: Sandown Park Race 2 Sandown Park - Race 6 5:07pm AEST No. 7 Persian Goddess Persian Goddess has put together an impressive racing resume so far throughout her career having won 14 of 35 career starts. She is racing very consistently right at the minute including wins in her last three in a row, all of which have been at this track and distance. Bet Now: Sandown Park Race 6 Sandown Park - Race 9 6:09pm AEST No. 6 Ranako Bale Ranako Bale put together two wins on the trot at The Meadows before running into one better last start. He won those two race starts by a combined 9+ lengths and although he finished second last start, it is still the fastest time t...

Sample size, in a sports betting context, refers to the amount of bets you base your analyses around. Short-term betting results do not say with high ‘confidence’ how likely a strategy is to succeed long-term. This is known as a small (and insignificant) sample size. The more results you have the bigger your sample size is, and the more clarity and accuracy you have in verifying the profitability of your betting strategy. Essentially, a large sample size increases confidence and reduces uncertainty .   Sample Sizes In Betting In betting we can analyse past data to determine estimates or trends. The size of the sample, i.e. the total number of bets recorded, dictates the amount of information we have and (in part) determines the precision or level of confidence that we have in our estimates. In some of my other blog posts (like my analysis on Drifters & Steamers ) I refer to a “test strategy” of recorded bets using real odds. Using this same data set I aim to ...