2023 Randwick Guineas Preview
The three-year-olds take centre stage this Saturday at Royal Randwick with a strong field of 12 stepping out in this year’s Randwick Guineas.
Aft Cabin has unfinished business after having his chance at a hat-trick spoiled in the Hobartville Stakes two weeks ago by Osipenko, and it’s no surprise to find the pair sitting one-two in the market.
Last-start winners hold an exceptional record in the Guineas with six saluting over the last 11 years, a stat that bodes particualrly well for Osipenko and last year’s Victoria Derby winner Manzoice at longer odds.
With several setting their sights on the Rosehill Guineas in a fortnight’s time, check out our analysis on each runner in this year’s Randwick Guineas field below.
1. Manzoice (14)
Manzoice caused a boil-over in last year’s Victoria Derby, storming home late as a 21-1 pop thanks to a well-timed ride from Michael Dee.
The Chris Waller-trained colt hasn’t been seen since, but this does look a suitable assignment first-up following a soft trial at Rosehill.
He has run some honest races over this distance range in the past, albeit against much easier company. Given he’s looking for further though, the mile is well short of his best.
2. Osipenko (4)
Osipenko is a dual acceptor in the Australian Guineas at Flemington.
Given he’s done most of his racing at Randwick it’s likely he winds up here, especially after wearing down Zou Tiger with a brave run in the Hobartville Stakes two weeks ago at Rosehill.
The Pierro colt enjoyed a dream run in transit along the rail and found something extra for a dive at the line.
This is tougher, but he’ll only be fitter with a couple of runs under his belt, while he also held his own over the mile in the Caulfield Guineas last year beaten less than half a length by Golden Mile. Drawn ideally, it’s likely he gets back again and saves his best for late.
3. Aft Cabin (10)
Aft Cabin is a class colt out of the Godolphin yard that has a point to prove in the Guineas.
The Astern three-year-old won back-to-back Group 3’s before being denied his hat-trick in the Hobartville last time out, a performance worth forgiving after drawing a wide gate.
Interestingly, he’s also drawn barrier 10 for this assignment, but he should find conditions a bit more suitable this time with some rain expected.
James McDonald replacing Tim Clark in the saddle is also a big plus, and I’d be surprised if the pair aren’t fighting out the finish if they can find some cover early.
4. Zou Tiger (6)
Zou Tiger was the first to reach the leading Aft Cabin in the Hobartville before he was beaten a lip by Osipenko right on the line.
The Zoustar colt enjoyed a dream run in transit in behind the speed, and we’ll likely see Brenton Avdulla adopt similar tractics from another soft gate.
Like others, he’s untried over the mile, but does rate highly after finishing just 1.4 lengths off the Australian Guineas favourite Jacquinot in the Golden Rose Stakes last year.
Any rain about will only strengthen his claims.
5. Matcha Latte (5)
Matcha Latte was third to greet the judge first-up in the Hobartville, tracking along nicely from midfield despite racing a little wide in the early going.
The son of Maurice hasn’t tasted a win since breaking maiden at Kensington back in August, but he has held his own at this level beaten less than a length in the Spring Champion Stakes over further during the spring.
His effort the start prior over the mile at Warwick Farm was full of merit, again beaten only narrowly by the same horse. He’d love some rain about and draws to get another well-timed run off the speed.
6. Williamsburg (8)
Williamsburg is an intriguing each-way option for those looking for one at odds.
He looked to be in need of the run first-up in the Eskimo Prince Stakes but showed real improvement out to 1400m when finding a late split to finish fourth in the Hobartville a fortnight ago.
The fact he won the Dulcify Stakes over the mile third-up from a spell last time in work reads well on paper, and he’s another one that should appreciate some juice in the track.
Worth thought in multiples.
7. Promitto (9)
Promitto appeared a horse worth following after winning the Group 2 Skyline Stakes during his maiden prep this time last year.
He failed to produce that same form throughout the spring however, and his recent first-up when last in the Hobartville left a lot to be desired. As the price suggests, he needs to lift significantly to be a factor here.
8. Communist (7)
Communist is a consistent three-year-old that has landed in the money in seven of his nine starts to date.
He was among the place-getters first-up in the Eskimo Prince Stakes, showcasing some speed in the late stages after contacting another runner at the top of the straight.
His effort in the Hobartville was only plain, but I do question the decision to roll forward and lead from Jason Collett. A more patient ride here could see him a threat.
9. Lindermann (12)
Lindermann is competing at Group 1 level for the first time, but he did clock some slick times in a BM78 at Rosehill a couple of weeks ago that suggest he might be a decent chance.
Chris Waller’s colt was well-beaten in a Stakes race over the track and trip during the spring at this stage of his prep, but the other positive is he handles all going.
12. Attrition (1)
Attrition has also accepted at Flemington and is likely to line up there given he’s spent most of his time racing in Victoria.
The step up to the mile does look ideal for him though as it appeared 1400m was a little on the short side last time around in the CS Hayes Stakes at Sandown.
The booking of Craig Williams is a big plus, and the pair should get a nice ride off the speed after drawing the rail.
13. Hollywood Hero (2)
Hollywood Hero has put together a tidy resume in four starts so far.
The Sacred Falls colt shed the maiden tag at Warwick Farm a fortnight ago, leading all the way with the blinkers on for the first time.
It was a fitting reward after finding the money in his previous three starts, and although ths is much tougher, he should be better for it sticking to the mile.
14. Cut On A Dime (3)
Cut On A Dime is a lightly-raced three-year-old by So You Think that shed the maiden tag in his return to the races at Kensington a few weeks ago.
It’s tough to know how good he is just yet, but this big step up in class should give a fair indication.
The post 2023 Randwick Guineas Preview appeared first on Ladbrokes Blog.
from Ladbrokes Blog https://www.ladbrokes.com.au/blog/2023/03/01/2023-randwick-guineas-preview/
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